Expert Commentary: An Oil Price Correction Is Due

– Oil markets appeared to be firing on all cylinders this week. Flat price brent reached a 5-month high on Friday at $56.91 and is +28% since June, Brent Dec’17/Jun’18 reached a 7-month high and Dated vs. Front Line Brent traded to its highest mark since mid-2014. OPEC compliance remains strong, global refined product stocks are drawing aggressively and COT positioning on brent, gasoline and heating oil shows funds continuing to pile into the long side of the market. – In our view the current strength in flat price, spreads and refined…

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The Mysterious Company Behind Kyrgyzstan’s Hydro Disaster

It is back to square one for Kyrgyzstan, as the Central Asian state strives to build a giant hydropower plant. Representatives of a little-known entity from the Czech Republic, which was the surprise winner of a tender last summer, acknowledged on September 18 that they do not have the money to proceed with the project. Last July, the Kyrgyz government announced that the Czech company, Liglass Trading, had won the rights to a multimillion-dollar project to build and operate power plants on the country’s Upper Naryn cascade, along with several…

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The Mysterious Company Behind Kyrgyzstan’s Hydro Disaster

It is back to square one for Kyrgyzstan, as the Central Asian state strives to build a giant hydropower plant. Representatives of a little-known entity from the Czech Republic, which was the surprise winner of a tender last summer, acknowledged on September 18 that they do not have the money to proceed with the project. Last July, the Kyrgyz government announced that the Czech company, Liglass Trading, had won the rights to a multimillion-dollar project to build and operate power plants on the country’s Upper Naryn cascade, along with several…

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Supermajors Prepare For A Permian Bidding War

BHP announced their plans to divest their U.S. shale assets, including a 123,000-acre position in the heart of the Delaware Basin. This acreage position, in terms of a pricing evaluation, could rival the Exxon acquisition of the Bass family’s assets, which totaled over $5.6 billion. We are anticipating a bidding war between supermajors. To break down this gem of an acquisition target, we wanted to analyze comparable transactions in the basin along with key data points to understand the upside of BHP’s Delaware acreage position. (Click…

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Supermajors Prepare For A Permian Bidding War

BHP announced their plans to divest their U.S. shale assets, including a 123,000-acre position in the heart of the Delaware Basin. This acreage position, in terms of a pricing evaluation, could rival the Exxon acquisition of the Bass family’s assets, which totaled over $5.6 billion. We are anticipating a bidding war between supermajors. To break down this gem of an acquisition target, we wanted to analyze comparable transactions in the basin along with key data points to understand the upside of BHP’s Delaware acreage position. (Click…

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Russia’s Arctic Oil Is Off Limits For Private Drillers

On the last day of summer 2017, Russia’s Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev held a government session dedicated to the development of the country’s territories in the Arctic. After months of speculation and rumors about significant funding cuts to the Arctic development program, the government pledged to invest RUB160 billion (over U.S.$2.75 billion) by 2025 in the development of the Arctic shelf and the socio-economic needs of the local area. The news broke as Russian Deputy Minister of Energy Kirill Molodtsov revealed plans to increase…

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Argentina Doubles Down On Shale Gas And Renewables

Traditionally one of the most prominent oil and natural gas markets in South America, Argentina is increasingly turning towards alternative forms of energy, with the government exploring shale gas and renewable options as it looks to diversify its power market. The shift comes amid challenges to longstanding hydrocarbons production, which has seen Argentina record export deficits in recent years. Foot on the gas According to the “BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2017”, natural gas accounts for 50.2 percent of Argentina’s…

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Argentina Doubles Down On Shale Gas And Renewables

Traditionally one of the most prominent oil and natural gas markets in South America, Argentina is increasingly turning towards alternative forms of energy, with the government exploring shale gas and renewable options as it looks to diversify its power market. The shift comes amid challenges to longstanding hydrocarbons production, which has seen Argentina record export deficits in recent years. Foot on the gas According to the “BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2017”, natural gas accounts for 50.2 percent of Argentina’s…

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How Will Venezuela Deal With A PDVSA Default?

While debt servicing has been a government priority, declining external liquidity and a deteriorating domestic situation (three-digit hyperinflation, shortages, and a political crisis between the government and the National Assembly) make it a daunting task. By 2020, the country must repay 30 percent of the external debt due to expire in the next 23 years. Venezuela can get access to liquidity via three main ways. The first option is to borrow directly on the financial market which implies that the country must pay an increasingly prohibitive risk…

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How Will Venezuela Deal With A PDVSA Default?

While debt servicing has been a government priority, declining external liquidity and a deteriorating domestic situation (three-digit hyperinflation, shortages, and a political crisis between the government and the National Assembly) make it a daunting task. By 2020, the country must repay 30 percent of the external debt due to expire in the next 23 years. Venezuela can get access to liquidity via three main ways. The first option is to borrow directly on the financial market which implies that the country must pay an increasingly prohibitive risk…

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